Sunday, May 07, 2006

Buffet's Lonely Successor


Interesting and endearing article on Warren Buffet's thoughts on what will happen when a new CEO is chosen to lead Berkshire Hathaway sometime in the future. The article appeared on MarketWatch and was written by Alistair Barr.

Apparently Buffet gives his chosen successor about "one year or so" to prove to the marketplace that Berkshire Hathaway will carry on with business as usual. Buffet forecasted that his successor would not get as many calls at first from businesses looking to sell to Berkshire Hathaway but that would only be temporary. I could not help but think of the lonely Maytag repairman who received so few repair calls due to the dependability of Maytag appliances. By the way, how does Buffet know that this loneliness will last only one year? I would give it two years at best.

As Barr quoted Buffet: "Indeed, Berkshire may emerge from succession stronger than before. Once it happens, Berkshire may even be stronger because people will then realize that the culture was institutionalized and not just tied to one person."

Ironically, Buffet was quoted in Fortune a few years ago on what makes a most admired company: "People are voting for the artist, not the painting." The sage of Omaha was making the point that leadership matters. It will be hard for any CEO to stand in Buffet's shoes but his forecasts have traditionally been right.

Only time will tell.

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